is closing the gap in several crucial battleground states. It is already starting to look like the upcoming election could be close in terms of electoral votes. There are several swing states that could genuinely go either way. We are going to be looking at several of the battleground states to project what might happen on election day.
Arizona has been trending towards the Democrats for many
years, and it is very possible that 2020 could be the year that it finally
falls into the Democrats’ column within the Electoral College. President Trump
won the state over Hillary Clinton by around 3.5% in the previous election.
That equates to approximately 90,000 votes in favor of the Republicans in 2016.
Polling data has been mixed in recent weeks and the state is
still considered to be a toss-up for both campaigns. President Trump believes
he can win the state by improving his margins within the Latino community. Both
candidates could still win the election without Arizona. This is still an
important state, and it could be especially important for the Republican Party
because the path to 270 Electoral Votes is much easier with Arizona in their
column.
Florida
The state of Florida has always been recognized as a toss-up
state, and it will once again be an imperative state for both candidates in
this election. President Trump and former Vice President Biden are within the
polling margin of error in this state. Trump carried Florida by 1.2% in 2016
and secured all the Electoral Votes within the state. President Trump
absolutely has to win the state of Florida or he will probably lose his
re-election campaign.
The good news for the President is that Florida typically
leans towards the Republicans in General Elections. There is a reasonably good
chance that Florida turns red on Election Night.
Nevada
Hillary Clinton narrowly won the state of Nevada in 2016 but
ultimately lost the election to Donald Trump. President Trump believes he can
win the state of Nevada by convincing Latino voters to swing towards the
Republicans. Joe Biden has struggled to solidify the support of the Latino
community, and that could prove to be problematic in this election.
There is a good chance that the Democratic Party will
ultimately win the state of Nevada in 2020. Trump believes he can generate
enough enthusiasm to swing the state to his column. This is definitely not a
must-win state for either party, but that doesn’t mean that either candidate is
simply going to let the 6 Electoral Votes slip away to the opposing party.
Georgia
Several recent polls show a tight race in Georgia for the
upcoming election. President Trump won this state by 5.1% in 2016, and there is
no reason to believe that the Republicans will lose it this time around. Joe
Biden is attempting to try to win the state, but it really doesn’t seem to be
making the type of dent that he needs to win the state.
North Carolina
In the earlier months of 2020, it looked increasingly likely
that Joe Biden would flip North Carolina in the upcoming election. That
possibly is now starting to come into question, as Donald Trump has rapidly
closed the gap in recent polls. This is an important state for both candidates
in the 2020 election. Trump needs to lock-in the Southern states to give
himself the best chance at re-election. North Carolina and Florida are
imperative for the incumbent, and only time will tell if he has the votes to
put himself over the top in this crucial state.
Ohio
The great state of Ohio has been slowly drifting away from
toss-up status and appears to be leaning towards the Republicans. A Republican
has never won an election without the state of Ohio. Donald Trump is likely to
win the state as he has been recently polling far ahead of his opponent, Joe
Biden. Trump won by nearly 8.0% in the 2016 election and it has been trending
farther away from toss-up status for many election cycles.
Minnesota
This is going to be a stressful state for the Democrats on Election Night. President Trump has made a significant effort to try and flip the state of Minnesota into the Republican column. The state is worth 10 Electoral Votes and has been trending away from the Democrats for several election cycles. Hilary Clinton only won the reliably blue state over Donald Trump by 43,000 votes. If enthusiasm turns out to be a problem for the Democrats, then the country might witness the state of Minnesota lock in its Electoral Votes for President Trump in November.
